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Hay Al Wadi vs Alamal SC Atbara

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Hay Al Wadi host Alamal SC Atbara in the Premier League 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hay Al Wadi have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Alamal SC Atbara's 0.86 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Hay Al Wadi have won 1 to Alamal SC Atbara's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jul 21, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.24, favoring Alamal SC Atbara. Alamal SC Atbara in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hay Al Wadi
39%
Draws
30%
Alamal SC Atbara
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Alamal SC Atbara has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hay Al Wadi.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 19%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hay Al Wadi Alamal SC Atbara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.25 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2025 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Hay Al Wadi
0:0
Nov 10, 2022 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Alamal SC Atbara
2:0
Jul 5, 2022 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Hay Al Wadi
1:1
Mar 8, 2022 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hay Al Wadi 32 / 100
Alamal SC Atbara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hay Al Wadi Alamal SC Atbara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay Al Wadi scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Alamal SC Atbara let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Hay Al Wadi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alamal SC Atbara lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hay Al Wadi VS Alamal SC Atbara
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman742115:414
2Al-Merreikh74217:514
3Madani74218:214
4Zamala Ruwaba73227:511
5Alamal SC Atbara72237:78
6Hay Al Wadi71425:87
7Al-Mergheni71334:96
8Al-Merreikh Obeid70162:151