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Hay Al Wadi vs Alamal SC Atbara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hay Al Wadi
35%
Draws
29%
Alamal SC Atbara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hay Al Wadi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Alamal SC Atbara at 1.11 per game, Hay Al Wadi at 1.07.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 20%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hay Al Wadi Alamal SC Atbara
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2025 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Hay Al Wadi
0:0
Nov 10, 2022 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Alamal SC Atbara
2:0
Jul 5, 2022 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Hay Al Wadi
1:1
Mar 8, 2022 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hay Al Wadi 32 / 100
Alamal SC Atbara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hay Al Wadi Alamal SC Atbara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alamal SC Atbara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay Al Wadi scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Alamal SC Atbara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Hay Al Wadi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hay Al Wadi VS Alamal SC Atbara
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hay Al Wadi

(Home)
09 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
0 : 0
Hay Al Wadi
06 Jun
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
01 Jun
Al Merreikh II
4 : 0
Hay Al Wadi
29 May
Madani
3 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
23 May
Hay Al Wadi
0 : 2
Hilal Alsahil
Page 1 of 6

Alamal SC Atbara

(Away)
13 Feb
Al Merreikh II
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
09 Feb
Al Hilal Karima
1 : 0
Alamal SC Atbara
03 Feb
Al Ahly Merowe
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
31 Jan
Al Saham Ad Damer
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
26 Jan
Alfalah Atbra
0 : 0
Alamal SC Atbara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 7 4 2 1 15:4 14
2 Al Merreikh 7 4 2 1 7:5 14
3 Madani 7 4 2 1 8:2 14
4 Zamala Ruwaba 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
5 Alamal SC Atbara 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Hay Al Wadi 7 1 4 2 5:8 7
7 Al Mergheni 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
8 Al Merreikh Obeid 7 0 1 6 2:15 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)