Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HBS Craeyenhout vs Watergraafsmeer Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
56' Event
62' Event
Hilpert F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
HBS Craeyenhout
30%
Draws
41%
Watergraafsmeer
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Watergraafsmeer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • HBS Craeyenhout haven't matched Watergraafsmeer's recent run of results.
  • Model gives HBS Craeyenhout a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Watergraafsmeer arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
HBS Craeyenhout Clean Sheet 10%
Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HBS Craeyenhout Watergraafsmeer
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.27 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 Derde Divisie
Watergraafsmeer vs HBS Craeyenhout
4:0
Jun 1, 2023 Derde Divisie
HBS Craeyenhout vs Watergraafsmeer
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HBS Craeyenhout Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilpert F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leeuwen van L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Watergraafsmeer Compare

Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HBS Craeyenhout 56 / 100
Watergraafsmeer 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HBS Craeyenhout Watergraafsmeer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HBS Craeyenhout Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Watergraafsmeer conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

HBS Craeyenhout scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

HBS Craeyenhout has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

HBS Craeyenhout VS Watergraafsmeer
1 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

HBS Craeyenhout

(Home)
04 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
4 : 0
HBS Craeyenhout
01 Jun
HBS Craeyenhout
2 : 2
Watergraafsmeer
12 Jun
HBS Craeyenhout
2 : 3
SV Orion
09 Jun
SV Orion
1 : 1
HBS Craeyenhout
26 May
Dongen
0 : 6
HBS Craeyenhout
Page 1 of 6

Watergraafsmeer

(Away)
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4
TEC
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
07 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 2
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Smitshoek 5
VVOG 2
ODIN '59 7
Swift 2
Genemuiden 3
Excelsior 31 1
AZSV 3
Capelle 6
HBS Craeyenhout 2
Watergraafsmeer 6
Be Quick 1887 1
Kampong 4
SV Juliana 31 1
Baronie 2
AWC 2
RKAVV Leidschendam 1
Final
Smitshoek 3
ODIN '59 6
Genemuiden 6
Capelle 3
Watergraafsmeer 1
Kampong 3
Baronie 1
AWC 2