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HBS Craeyenhout vs Watergraafsmeer

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
56' Event
62' Event
Hilpert F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
HBS Craeyenhout
11%
Draws
9%
Watergraafsmeer
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: HBS Craeyenhout

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Watergraafsmeer at 1.63 per game, HBS Craeyenhout at 1.
  • Model gives HBS Craeyenhout a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
HBS Craeyenhout Clean Sheet 10%
Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HBS Craeyenhout Watergraafsmeer
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 3 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 Derde Divisie
Watergraafsmeer vs HBS Craeyenhout
4:0
Jun 1, 2023 Derde Divisie
HBS Craeyenhout vs Watergraafsmeer
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HBS Craeyenhout Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilpert F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leeuwen van L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Watergraafsmeer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HBS Craeyenhout 74 / 100
Watergraafsmeer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HBS Craeyenhout Watergraafsmeer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HBS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Watergraafsmeer let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: HBS Craeyenhout scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: HBS Craeyenhout remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HBS Craeyenhout VS Watergraafsmeer
1 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Smitshoek5
VVOG2
ODIN '597
Swift2
Genemuiden3
Excelsior 311
AZSV3
Capelle6
HBS Craeyenhout2
Watergraafsmeer6
Be Quick 18871
Kampong4
SV Juliana 311
Baronie2
AWC2
RKAVV Leidschendam1
Final
Smitshoek3
ODIN '596
Genemuiden6
Capelle3
Watergraafsmeer1
Kampong3
Baronie1
AWC2