Sport Picks
Heartland FC vs Crown FC
Nigeria
NNL Awka City Stadium, Awka City Stadium 
AI Match Summary
The NNL game between Heartland FC and Crown FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heartland FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Heartland FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Heartland FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Heartland FC's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Heartland FC Clean Sheet 20%
Crown FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heartland FC | Crown FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 NNL
Heartland FC vs Crown FC
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 NNL
Crown FC vs Heartland FC
3:0
Aug 10, 2014 NPFL
Heartland FC vs Crown FC
1:0
Mar 16, 2014 NPFL
Crown FC vs Heartland FC
1:0
Jun 9, 2011 NPFL
Crown FC vs Heartland FC
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heartland FC 85 / 100
Crown FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heartland FC Crown FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crown FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Heartland FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Crown FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Heartland FC scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Heartland FC VS Crown FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Heartland FC
(Home) 11 Apr
Heartland FC
1 : 0 Crown FC
04 Apr
Edel FC
0 : 0 Heartland FC
01 Apr
Inter Lagos
2 : 1 Heartland FC
28 Mar
Heartland FC
3 : 0 Gateway United
14 Mar
Heartland FC
1 : 0 Sunshine Stars
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Heartland FC
1 : 0 Crown FC
28 Mar
Heartland FC
3 : 0 Gateway United
14 Mar
Heartland FC
1 : 0 Sunshine Stars
07 Mar
Heartland FC
3 : 1 Smart City
21 Feb
Heartland FC
2 : 1 Abia Comets
Page 1 of 4
Crown FC
(Away) 01 Jun
Bendel
3 : 1 Crown FC
11 Apr
Heartland FC
1 : 0 Crown FC
28 Mar
Abia Comets
2 : 1 Crown FC
25 Mar
Crown FC
2 : 2 Beyond Limits FC
14 Mar
Smart City
3 : 1 Crown FC
Page 1 of 6
01 Jun
Bendel
3 : 1 Crown FC
11 Apr
Heartland FC
1 : 0 Crown FC
28 Mar
Abia Comets
2 : 1 Crown FC
14 Mar
Smart City
3 : 1 Crown FC
07 Mar
Edel FC
2 : 1 Crown FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Lagos | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26:13 | 29 |
| 2 | Beyond Limits FC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Heartland FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 21:17 | 27 |
| 4 | Smart City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 21:19 | 27 |
| 5 | Sunshine Stars | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Edel FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 20 |
| 7 | Crown FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 8 | Abia Comets | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:31 | 15 |
| 9 | Gateway United | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:24 | 12 |
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Lagos | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Akwa United | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 23:13 | 35 |
| 3 | Ekiti United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 21:17 | 30 |
| 4 | Stormers | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 24:26 | 26 |
| 5 | Abakaliki | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 25 |
| 6 | Solution | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 18:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Godswill Akpabio | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:24 | 24 |
| 8 | Rovers FC | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 9 | Osun United | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 16:24 | 20 |
| 10 | First Bank | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:31 | 15 |
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doma United | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 26 |
| 2 | Lobi | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 12:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Basira | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Kada Warriors | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 11:9 | 20 |
| 5 | Sokoto United | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9:11 | 18 |
| 6 | ABS | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Mighty Jets | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:16 | 16 |
| 8 | City FC Abuja | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10:14 | 16 |
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ranchers Bees | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Adamawa Utd | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Jigawa Golden Stars | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | 18 |
| 4 | Yobe Stars | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Kebbi | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Bichi First | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Gombe | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8:11 | 15 |
| 8 | Sporting Supreme | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
