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Heartland FC vs Sunshine Stars

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL Awka City Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Heartland FC in this NNL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heartland FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Heartland FC
39%
Draws
31%
Sunshine Stars
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heartland FC lately — more wins on the board than Sunshine Stars.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Heartland FC Clean Sheet 20%
Sunshine Stars Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heartland FC Sunshine Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 NNL
Heartland FC vs Sunshine Stars
1:0
Dec 10, 2025 NNL
Sunshine Stars vs Heartland FC
3:1
Mar 26, 2025 NPFL
Sunshine Stars vs Heartland FC
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 NPFL
Heartland FC vs Sunshine Stars
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 NPFL
Heartland FC vs Sunshine Stars
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heartland FC 31 / 100
Sunshine Stars 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heartland FC Sunshine Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sunshine Stars conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Heartland FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Heartland FC found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Heartland FC VS Sunshine Stars
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Lagos1685326:1329
2Beyond Limits FC1677223:1328
3Heartland FC1683521:1727
4Smart City1683521:1927
5Sunshine Stars1674518:1425
6Edel FC1662814:2020
7Crown FC1644818:1916
8Abia Comets1643916:3115
9Gateway United16331013:2412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Lagos18113431:1436
2Akwa United18112523:1335
3Ekiti United18100821:1730
4Stormers1882824:2626
5Abakaliki1874719:1725
6Solution1881918:2225
7Godswill Akpabio1866627:2424
8Rovers FC18711015:2122
9Osun United18621016:2420
10First Bank18431115:3115
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doma United1482418:1126
2Lobi1472512:1023
3Basira1463517:1421
4Kada Warriors1455411:920
5Sokoto United145369:1118
6ABS1452710:1617
7Mighty Jets1451814:1616
8City FC Abuja1444610:1416
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ranchers Bees1262411:920
2Adamawa Utd1260612:1118
3Jigawa Golden Stars1253412:1518
4Yobe Stars1252514:1317
5Kebbi1251611:1116
6Bichi First1243511:915
7Gombe124358:1115
8Sporting Supreme00000:00