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Hearts vs Dundee FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Westley J. In: Wales B.
Out: Westley J.
17' Event
Fink B.
Assist: Samuels I.
35'
McPake J.

AI Match Summary

Hearts in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hearts
20%
Draws
33%
Dundee FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hearts lately — more wins on the board than Dundee FC.
  • Win probability leans Hearts's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hearts have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hearts Clean Sheet 20%
Dundee FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Dundee FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.82 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Dundee FC
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Dundee FC
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs Hearts
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Dundee FC
4:0
Apr 26, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Dundee FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerjota S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dundee FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fink B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 58 / 100
Dundee FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Dundee FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Dundee FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Hearts went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Dundee FC
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Dundee FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
30 Aug
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Hibernian
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)