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Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Renaud T.
Assist: Braga C.
11'
Bennie D.
12' Event
Miller C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Hearts in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hearts
20%
Draws
33%
Dundee Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hearts lately — more wins on the board than Dundee Utd.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Hearts taking it.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hearts Clean Sheet 15%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Dundee Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Dundee Utd
4:0
Jan 31, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Hearts
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Dundee Utd
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Hearts
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Dundee Utd
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Renaud T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Braga C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Dundee Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 84 / 100
Dundee Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Dundee Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Dundee Utd let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Hearts has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Dundee Utd
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
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Dundee Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)