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Hearts vs Falkirk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hearts host Falkirk in the Premiership. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Hearts at 1.83 goals for, 1.59 against; Falkirk at 1.46 for, 1.61 against. Head-to-head, Hearts have won 3 to Falkirk's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.00) back Hearts to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Hearts
35%
Draws
40%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hearts lately — more wins on the board than Falkirk.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hearts Clean Sheet 20%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Falkirk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hearts
2:1
May 13, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Falkirk
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Falkirk
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup
Hearts vs Falkirk
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hearts
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 32 / 100
Falkirk 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hearts scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Falkirk conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hearts remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Falkirk
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
18 Oct
Celtic
7 : 1
Hearts
15 Oct
Hearts
1 : 1
Nordsjaelland
10 Oct
Hearts
5 : 0
St. Mirren
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Falkirk

(Away)
17 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Falkirk
10 Oct
Falkirk
1 : 2
Dundee FC
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 9 6 2 1 13:7 20
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee FC 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
5 St Johnstone 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
6 Dundee Utd 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
7 Aberdeen 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
8 St. Mirren 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
9 Falkirk 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 2 5 10:20 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)