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Hearts vs Nordsjaelland

Europe Europe

Conference League Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Hearts Logo

Hearts

Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Nordsjaelland Logo

Nordsjaelland

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hearts host Nordsjaelland in the Conference League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Hearts at 1.77 goals for, 1.37 against; Nordsjaelland at 1.83 for, 1.1 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.81 - 1.56) back Hearts to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hearts
20%
Draws
33%
Nordsjaelland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hearts have won more games recently than Nordsjaelland.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Hearts taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hearts Clean Sheet 15%
Nordsjaelland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Nordsjaelland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.77 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 57 / 100
Nordsjaelland 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Nordsjaelland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Nordsjaelland let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Hearts stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nordsjaelland lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Nordsjaelland
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

Nordsjaelland

(Away)
20 Sept
Viborg
4 : 1
Nordsjaelland
16 Sept
Vatanspor
0 : 3
Nordsjaelland
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
07 Sept
Midtjylland
2 : 2
Nordsjaelland
03 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2 : 0
Nordsjaelland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mjallby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Brighton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Monaco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jablonec 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Gent 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 St. Truiden 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Atalanta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Ajax 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Twente 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Getafe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 KuPS 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 CSKA Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hajduk Split 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Pafos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Aarhus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 FC Copenhagen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Midtjylland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Nordsjaelland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Panathinaikos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Brann 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 Braga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Hearts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 Lugano 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
25 Crvena zvezda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
26 Thun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
27 Trabzonspor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
28 Borac Banja Luka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
29 Kairat Almaty 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
30 KF Egnatia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
31 Inter Escaldes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
32 FK Kauno Zalgiris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
33 Univ. Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
34 Iberia 1999 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
35 Lincoln Red Imps 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
36 Riga FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)