Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hearts vs Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hearts host Rangers in the Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Rangers have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Hearts have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor Hearts slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.69) point toward Hearts. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Hearts
30%
Draws
51%
Rangers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hearts carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rangers are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hearts Clean Sheet 13%
Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Rangers
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs Rangers
2:1
Feb 15, 2026 Premiership
Rangers vs Hearts
4:2
Dec 21, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Rangers
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premiership
Rangers vs Hearts
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs Rangers
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 11 / 100
Rangers 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Rangers let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Hearts went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Rangers
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
22 Oct
Trabzonspor
2 : 0
Hearts
18 Oct
Celtic
7 : 1
Hearts
15 Oct
Hearts
1 : 1
Nordsjaelland
10 Oct
Hearts
5 : 0
St. Mirren
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
Page 1 of 7

Rangers

(Away)
17 Oct
Dundee FC
2 : 2
Rangers
10 Oct
Rangers
3 : 1
Kilmarnock
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 9 6 2 1 13:7 20
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee FC 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
5 St Johnstone 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
6 Dundee Utd 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
7 Aberdeen 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
8 St. Mirren 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
9 Falkirk 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 2 5 10:20 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)