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Hearts vs Rayo Vallecano

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ba-Sy A.
34' Event
Ba-Sy A.
46'
Sub
Renaud T. In: Dhanda Y.
Out: Renaud T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Hearts and Rayo Vallecano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hearts
20%
Draws
33%
Rayo Vallecano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hearts carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hearts are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Hearts Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Rayo Vallecano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Hearts vs Rayo Vallecano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba-Sy A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Rayo Vallecano Compare

Top Goalscorer Camello S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 95 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Rayo Vallecano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rayo Vallecano has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hearts stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Rayo Vallecano
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
11 Sept
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Hearts
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
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Rayo Vallecano

(Away)
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
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