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Hearts vs Rayo Vallecano

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ba-Sy A.
34' Event
Ba-Sy A.
46'
Sub
Renaud T. In: Dhanda Y.
Out: Renaud T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Hearts and Rayo Vallecano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hearts
44%
Draws
20%
Rayo Vallecano
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Hearts carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Hearts Clean Sheet 16%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts Rayo Vallecano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Hearts vs Rayo Vallecano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba-Sy A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rayo Vallecano Compare

Top Goalscorer Camello S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 36 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts Rayo Vallecano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rayo Vallecano has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hearts stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Rayo Vallecano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
28 Jul
Hearts
0 : 2
Sturm Graz
24 Jul
Raith
0 : 1
Hearts
21 Jul
Sturm Graz
4 : 0
Hearts
17 Jul
Hearts
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
14 Jul
Arbroath
1 : 2
Hearts
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Rayo Vallecano

(Away)
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul
Hearts
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
27 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 0
Rayo Vallecano
23 May
Alaves
1 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
17 May
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 0
Villarreal
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