Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hearts vs St Johnstone

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Wilson J.
Assist: McPake J.
39' Event
Alic E.
Own Goal
48' Event
Paton R.
Assist: Stanton S.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between Hearts and St Johnstone finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hearts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Hearts
20%
Draws
17%
St Johnstone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • St Johnstone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Hearts taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hearts have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hearts Clean Sheet 16%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hearts St Johnstone
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.69 2
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premiership
Hearts vs St Johnstone
2:1
May 14, 2025 Premiership
Hearts vs St Johnstone
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Hearts
1:2
Dec 22, 2024 Premiership
Hearts vs St Johnstone
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Hearts
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Paton R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 84 / 100
St Johnstone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hearts St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hearts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Hearts has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

St Johnstone's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS St Johnstone
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
26 Aug
Rapid Vienna
2 : 3
Hearts
20 Aug
Hearts
2 : 2
Rapid Vienna
16 Aug
Hearts
6 : 2
Inverness
13 Aug
Hearts
1 : 1
Benfica
Page 1 of 6

St Johnstone

(Away)
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
08 Aug
St. Mirren
1 : 0
St Johnstone
02 Aug
St Johnstone
4 : 3
Kilmarnock
25 Jul
St Johnstone
1 : 2
East Fife
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0
St Johnstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 St. Mirren 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
3 Hearts 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
4 Motherwell 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
5 Dundee FC 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
6 Rangers 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Hibernian 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
8 St Johnstone 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
9 Dundee Utd 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
10 Aberdeen 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
11 Falkirk 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
12 Kilmarnock 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)