Sport Picks

Europe

Champions League Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Hearts

0 - 2

Sturm Graz

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Jatta S.

45'

Sub

Kingsley S. In: Findlay S.

Out: Kingsley S.

46'

Sub

Weinhandl L. In: Fosso R.

Out: Weinhandl L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Sturm Graz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Hearts

Draws

90%

Sturm Graz

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sturm Graz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Hearts carry the better recent record into this one.
Sturm Graz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Hearts have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Sturm Graz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hearts	Sturm Graz
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	17	14
Draws	3	10
Losses	8	4
Goals Scored	1.38	3.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Champions League

Sturm Graz vs Hearts

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hearts Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sturm Graz Compare

Top Goalscorer Seidl S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Soglo E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.85

Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hearts 10 / 100

Sturm Graz 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hearts Sturm Graz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sturm Graz let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Hearts has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hearts VS Sturm Graz

1.38 Goals Scored 3.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

(Home)

24 Jul

Raith

0 : 1

Hearts

21 Jul

Sturm Graz

4 : 0

Hearts

17 Jul

Hearts

2 : 1

Rayo Vallecano

14 Jul

Arbroath

1 : 2

Hearts

10 Jul

Livingston

2 : 1

Hearts

Page 1 of 6

Sturm Graz

(Away)

24 Jul

Seekirchen

0 : 3

Sturm Graz

21 Jul

Sturm Graz

4 : 0

Hearts

15 Jul

Sturm Graz

1 : 0

Pogon Szczecin

11 Jul

Sturm Graz

5 : 1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

08 Jul

Sturm Graz

4 : 1

SC Kalsdorf

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Thun-

TBD-

Din. Zagreb-

Klaksvik4

Bissen2

FK Kauno Zalgiris4

Drita3

Mjallby-

TBD-

Lincoln Red Imps4

Inter Escaldes2

Flora4

Iberia 19995

TBD-

Slovan Bratislava-

Borac Banja Luka1

Levski Sofia5

ML Vitebsk1

Univ. Craiova5

Omonia-

TBD-

Kairat Almaty4

Sutjeska1

Aarhus-

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Sabah Baku4

TNS1

Vardar3

KuPS4

Ararat-Armenia4

Riga FC3

Floriana3

Shamrock Rovers5

Petrocub Hincesti2

KF Egnatia7

TBD-

Celje-

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Gyor2

TBD-

H. Beer Sheva-

Tre Fiori1

Larne3

TBD-

Crvena zvezda-

Olympiacos Piraeus-

TBD-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Fenerbahce-

TBD-

Gornik Zabrze-

Sturm Graz-

TBD-

Hearts-

Sparta Prague-

TBD-

Lyon-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Thun1

Din. Zagreb1

Klaksvik0

FK Kauno Zalgiris0

Mjallby3

Lincoln Red Imps0

Iberia 19990

Slovan Bratislava2

Levski Sofia1

Univ. Craiova0

Omonia1

Kairat Almaty0

Aarhus1

Lech Poznan4

Sabah Baku1

KuPS0

Ararat-Armenia2

Shamrock Rovers0

KF Egnatia3

Celje3

Vikingur Reykjavik2

H. Beer Sheva1

Larne0

Crvena zvezda4

Olympiacos Piraeus-

TBD-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Fenerbahce1

Gornik Zabrze0

Sturm Graz4

Hearts0

Sparta Prague-

TBD-

Lyon-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Olympiacos Piraeus-

Nijmegen-

Royale Union SG-

Bodo/Glimt-

TBD-

Sparta Prague-

Lyon-

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Hearts vs Sturm Graz

Europe

Hearts

Sturm Graz

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Hearts Compare

Sturm Graz Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Hearts

Sturm Graz

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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