Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hebar vs Chernomorets 1919

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Stefanov S.
44'
Mihaylov I.
46'
Sub
Pavlov K. In: Roemer Y.
Out: Pavlov K.

AI Match Summary

Hebar in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hebar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Hebar
30%
Draws
43%
Chernomorets 1919
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hebar average 1.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Chernomorets 1919's 1.25.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hebar Clean Sheet 16%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hebar Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.48 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Chernomorets 1919
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Chernomorets 1919
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Hebar
1:1
May 7, 2006 B PFG West
Hebar vs Chernomorets 1919
0:2
Oct 22, 2005 B PFG West
Chernomorets 1919 vs Hebar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tilev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hebar 31 / 100
Chernomorets 1919 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hebar Chernomorets 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebar's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Chernomorets 1919 has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Hebar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hebar VS Chernomorets 1919
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hebar

(Home)
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

Chernomorets 1919

(Away)
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
29 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 10 6 2 2 22:9 20
3 Fratria 10 5 4 1 14:8 19
4 Chernomorets 1919 10 5 3 2 16:8 18
5 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
6 Nesebar 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
7 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
8 Yantra Gabrovo 10 5 1 4 12:10 16
9 Beroe 10 4 3 3 15:12 15
10 Hebar 10 4 2 4 23:17 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 10 4 1 5 11:19 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
16 Svoge 10 2 4 4 7:9 10
17 Dobrudzha 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)