Sport Picks
Hebburn Town vs Southport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
9'
9'
Cornish M.
43'
43'
Charles J.
60'
60'
Ogwuru D.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Hebburn Town and Southport finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hebburn Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hebburn Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Hebburn Town carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hebburn Town Clean Sheet 14%
Southport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hebburn Town | Southport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 National League North
Hebburn Town vs Southport
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hebburn Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Cornish M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Charles J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Southport Compare
Top Goalscorer Ogwuru D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hebburn Town 30 / 100
Southport 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hebburn Town Southport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hebburn Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hebburn Town scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Southport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Hebburn Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hebburn Town VS Southport
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hebburn Town
(Home) 26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1 Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4 Guiseley
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
Radcliffe
5 : 1 Hebburn Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1 Chester
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4 Guiseley
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1 Chester
29 Aug
Hebburn Town
4 : 2 King’s Lynn
18 Aug
Hebburn Town
1 : 0 Worksop
Page 1 of 4
Southport
(Away) 26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
29 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
5 : 1 Southport
18 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 2 Southport
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
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