Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hedensted vs Aarhus Fremad

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bruhn S.
63' Event
Ullum N.
75' Event
Ullum N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Aarhus Fremad advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hedensted
30%
Draws
47%
Aarhus Fremad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aarhus Fremad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aarhus Fremad come out ahead of Hedensted on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Aarhus Fremad taking it.
  • Aarhus Fremad arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aarhus Fremad, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hedensted Clean Sheet 10%
Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hedensted Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 1 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.28 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2018 Betano Pokalen
Hedensted vs Aarhus Fremad
1:2
Aug 29, 2017 Betano Pokalen
Hedensted vs Aarhus Fremad
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hedensted Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruhn S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Aarhus Fremad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ullum N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hedensted 18 / 100
Aarhus Fremad 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hedensted Aarhus Fremad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aarhus Fremad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hedensted's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aarhus Fremad conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Hedensted went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hedensted VS Aarhus Fremad
0 Goals Scored 1.13
5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hedensted

(Home)
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
11 Feb
Holstebro
1 : 1
Hedensted
30 Aug
Hedensted
1 : 2
Thisted FC
02 Aug
Hedensted
1 : 0
Dalum IF
11 Nov
Hedensted
1 : 5
Fremad Amager
Page 1 of 4

Aarhus Fremad

(Away)
19 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
16 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
11 Sept
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
06 Sept
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 1
Kolding IF
30 Aug
Aarhus Fremad
0 : 0
Vejle
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bramdrupdam 3
FC Bih Odense 2
Odder 1
Dalum IF 3
Viby 3
Norresundby 1
Ringkobing 1
Skive 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Vejle -
TBD -
Skovshoved 1
BK Frem 4
Hellerup 2
Holbaek 0
Lyngby 0
Nykobing 1
Randers FC -
TBD -
Agerbaek/Starup 1
Naesby 2
Young Boys FD 5
Herning KFUM 0
Boldklubben 1913 0
Kolding IF 1
Esbjerg -
TBD -
AB Tarnby 0
Horsholm-Usserod 5
Djursland 3
Vatanspor 1
VSK Aarhus 0
Jammerbugt 3
Fredericia 6
Ringe 0
Vildbjerg 0
Viborg 10
Gentofte-Vangede 5
CBS Sport 1
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Hobro -
TBD -
Tjorring 0
Lyseng 1
Bjaeverskov IF Frem 1
LUIF 0
Stenlose 1
Ledoje-Smorum 3
Thisted FC 10
Birkelse 0
Nr. Aaby IK 0
Tarup-Paarup 6
AB Copenhagen 6
Fremad Valby 2
TBD -
Odense -
Brondby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bornholm 4
Rudersdal 0
IF Foroyar 0
Hillerod 6
B 1908 7
Dollefjelde-Musse 2
Nakskov 1
Avarta 3
Herlev 5
Bronshoj 1
OKS Odense 2
Marienlyst 4
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boldklubben 1893 3
Birkerod 2
Humlebaek BK 1
Koge 4
Hundested IK 3
BK Union 2
Vordingborg 2
Tarnby FF 3
Egen 2
Skanderborg 1
TBD -
Vendsyssel FF -
Naestved IF 3
Karlslunde 0
Slagelse 0
Helsingor 2
Brabrand 9
Hirtshals BK 0
Holstebro 0
Silkeborg 4
Aarhus Fremad 2
Vejgaard 1
Otterup 1
Hedensted 3
FC Sydvest 05 3
SGI/SSK 2
TBD -
Aarhus -
Horsens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kjellerup 4
Fuglebakken 1
Fjordager 1
Middelfart 5
Roskilde 4
Greve IF 0
Hvidovre IF 1
Fremad Amager 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aalborg -
1/32-finals
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Bramdrupdam 0
Dalum IF 11
Viby 2
Skive 1
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Vejle 4
BK Frem 3
Hellerup 2
Nykobing 3
Randers FC 2
Naesby 1
Young Boys FD 0
Kolding IF 3
Esbjerg 11
Horsholm-Usserod 1
Djursland 1
Jammerbugt 3
Fredericia 3
Viborg 2
Gentofte-Vangede 0
Sonderjyske 3
Hobro 2
Lyseng 1
Bjaeverskov IF Frem 0
Ledoje-Smorum 3
Thisted FC 1
Tarup-Paarup 0
AB Copenhagen 0
Odense 4
Brondby -
TBD -
Bornholm 0
Hillerod 2
B 1908 2
Avarta 1
Herlev 2
Marienlyst 3
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
Boldklubben 1893 1
Koge 3
Hundested IK 4
Tarnby FF 1
Egen 1
Vendsyssel FF 9
Naestved IF 2
Helsingor 1
Brabrand 2
Silkeborg 3
Aarhus Fremad 2
Hedensted 1
FC Sydvest 05 0
Aarhus 2
Horsens -
TBD -
Kjellerup 0
Middelfart 1
Roskilde 5
Fremad Amager 2
TBD -
Aalborg -
1/16-finals
Midtjylland 2
Dalum IF 1
Viby 0
FC Copenhagen 3
Vejle 2
Nykobing 1
Randers FC 1
Kolding IF 2
Esbjerg 1
Jammerbugt 0
Fredericia 0
Sonderjyske 2
Hobro 2
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Thisted FC 0
Odense 2
Brondby 4
Hillerod 1
B 1908 2
Marienlyst 4
Nordsjaelland 4
Koge 0
Hundested IK 0
Vendsyssel FF 3
Naestved IF 1
Silkeborg 0
Aarhus Fremad 1
Aarhus 5
Horsens 3
Middelfart 0
Roskilde 0
Aalborg 5
1/8-finals
Midtjylland 2
FC Copenhagen 0
Vejle 1
Kolding IF 3
Esbjerg 2
Sonderjyske 1
Hobro 2
Odense 4
Brondby 4
Marienlyst 1
Nordsjaelland 0
Vendsyssel FF 1
Naestved IF 2
Aarhus 1
Horsens 0
Aalborg 1
Quarter-finals
Midtjylland 2
Kolding IF 0
Esbjerg 2
Odense 3
Brondby 2
Vendsyssel FF 0
Naestved IF 1
Aalborg 3
Semi-finals
Midtjylland 4
Odense 0
Brondby 1
Aalborg 0
Final
Midtjylland 2
Brondby 1