Sport Picks
Hednesford vs Ashton United Prediction & H2H Stats
England
NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 
Match Events
11'
11'
Gibson M.
24'
24'
Spooner C.
33'
33'
Osei D.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Hednesford and Ashton United finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hednesford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hednesford come out ahead of Ashton United on wins alone.
- 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 18%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hednesford | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Ashton United
3:3
Nov 29, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Hednesford
0:1
Sep 30, 2017 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Hednesford
1:2
Aug 12, 2017 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Ashton United
1:1
Sep 17, 2016 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Ashton United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hednesford Compare
Top Goalscorer Gibson M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Doyle-Charles J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Ashton United Compare
Top Goalscorer Osei D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Spooner C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hednesford 31 / 100
Ashton United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hednesford Ashton United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hednesford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hednesford's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Ashton United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Ashton United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Hednesford VS Ashton United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hednesford
(Home) 26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1 Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1 Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 Coventry United
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
28 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 1 Harborough
18 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 2 Southport
Page 1 of 4
Ashton United
(Away) 26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
22 Aug
AFC Emley
1 : 1 Ashton United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
