Sport Picks
Hednesford vs Guiseley Prediction & H2H Stats
England
NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 
Match Events
20'
20'
Gibson M.
36'
36'
Rose A.
AI Match Summary
Hednesford in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hednesford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guiseley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hednesford haven't matched Guiseley's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Hednesford here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 10%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hednesford | Guiseley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Guiseley
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Hednesford
1:5
Feb 14, 2015 National League North
Guiseley vs Hednesford
0:2
Sep 13, 2014 National League North
Hednesford vs Guiseley
1:1
Apr 12, 2014 National League North
Hednesford vs Guiseley
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hednesford Compare
Top Goalscorer Gibson M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rose A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Guiseley Compare
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hednesford 30 / 100
Guiseley 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hednesford Guiseley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guiseley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Hednesford scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Guiseley has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Hednesford has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hednesford VS Guiseley
1.38 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hednesford
(Home) 26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1 Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1 Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 Coventry United
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
28 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 1 Harborough
18 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 2 Southport
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Guiseley
(Away) 03 Oct
Guiseley
1 : 0 Bradford PA
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0 Guiseley
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2 Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4 Guiseley
12 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 1 Quorn
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0 Guiseley
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4 Guiseley
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2 Guiseley
31 Aug
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Guiseley
22 Aug
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2 Guiseley
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
