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Hednesford vs Scarborough Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hall L.
31' Event
Sterling-James O.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Cooke J.

AI Match Summary

Scarborough Athletic in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scarborough Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Hednesford
30%
Draws
35%
Scarborough Athletic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hednesford have won more games recently than Scarborough Athletic.
  • Win probability leans Hednesford's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Scarborough Athletic here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 19%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hednesford Scarborough Athletic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League North
Hednesford vs Scarborough Athletic
3:4
Jan 5, 2019 NPL Premier Division
Scarborough Athletic vs Hednesford
5:3
Aug 18, 2018 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Scarborough Athletic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hednesford Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooke J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Scarborough Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hull J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hednesford 42 / 100
Scarborough Athletic 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hednesford Scarborough Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hednesford scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scarborough Athletic let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Hednesford went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hednesford VS Scarborough Athletic
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hednesford

(Home)
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
South Shields
Page 1 of 6

Scarborough Athletic

(Away)
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
03 Oct
Macclesfield
2 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)