Sport Picks
Hednesford vs Southport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
44'
44'
Mottley-Henry D.
68'
68'
Cirino L.
90'
90'
Ogwuru D.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Hednesford and Southport finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hednesford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hednesford come out ahead of Southport on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Hednesford taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Southport have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 20%
Southport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hednesford | Southport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League North
Hednesford vs Southport
2:2
Apr 21, 2001 National League
Southport vs Hednesford
2:0
Nov 4, 2000 National League
Hednesford vs Southport
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hednesford Compare
Top Goalscorer Mottley-Henry D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cirino L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Southport Compare
Top Goalscorer Ogwuru D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Solomon S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hednesford 67 / 100
Southport 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hednesford Southport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hednesford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southport has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Hednesford found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Southport registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hednesford VS Southport
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hednesford
(Home) 26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1 Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1 Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 Coventry United
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
28 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 1 Harborough
18 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 2 Southport
Page 1 of 4
Southport
(Away) 26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
29 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
5 : 1 Southport
18 Aug
Hednesford
2 : 2 Southport
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
