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Heegan vs Badbaado

Somalia Somalia

National league
Heegan Logo

Heegan

2 - 1
FT
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Heegan in this National league matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heegan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Heegan
15%
Draws
34%
Badbaado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Badbaado haven't matched Heegan's recent run of results.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • Heegan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Heegan Clean Sheet 10%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heegan Badbaado
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.27 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Badbaado
2:1
Apr 13, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Heegan
0:2
Apr 28, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Heegan
0:4
Jan 14, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Badbaado
3:0
Jul 23, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Badbaado
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heegan 34 / 100
Badbaado 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heegan Badbaado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heegan found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Badbaado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Heegan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heegan VS Badbaado
2.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heegan

(Home)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Badbaado

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)