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Heegan vs Jazeera

Somalia Somalia

National league
Heegan Logo

Heegan

4 - 0
FT
Jazeera Logo

Jazeera

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Heegan in this National league matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heegan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Heegan
20%
Draws
23%
Jazeera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Heegan have won more games recently than Jazeera.
  • Win probability leans Heegan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Heegan Clean Sheet 13%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heegan Jazeera
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 2.39 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Jazeera
4:0
May 24, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Heegan
1:1
Apr 14, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Heegan
0:4
Dec 31, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Jazeera
5:0
Jun 20, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Jazeera
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heegan 84 / 100
Jazeera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heegan Jazeera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heegan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heegan scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Jazeera let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Heegan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heegan VS Jazeera
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Heegan

(Home)
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
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Jazeera

(Away)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)