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Heegan vs Mogadishu City

Somalia Somalia

National league
Heegan Logo

Heegan

1 - 0
FT
Mogadishu City Logo

Mogadishu City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Heegan and Mogadishu City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heegan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Heegan
15%
Draws
21%
Mogadishu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Heegan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Heegan a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Heegan Clean Sheet 20%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heegan Mogadishu City
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.27 1.65
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Heegan
0:1
Jun 3, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Mogadishu City
1:0
May 24, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Mogadishu City
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 National league
Mogadishu City vs Heegan
0:1
Jun 3, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Mogadishu City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heegan 85 / 100
Mogadishu City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heegan Mogadishu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heegan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heegan scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Mogadishu City has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Heegan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heegan VS Mogadishu City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heegan

(Home)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
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Mogadishu City

(Away)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)