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Heerenveen vs Nijmegen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heerenveen host Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Heerenveen at 2.15 goals for, 1.54 against; Nijmegen at 1.76 for, 1.76 against. Past meetings favor Heerenveen slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.00) point toward Heerenveen. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Heerenveen
35%
Draws
32%
Nijmegen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heerenveen come out ahead of Nijmegen on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Heerenveen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 20%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heerenveen Nijmegen
Matches Played 26 37
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 12
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.15 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Heerenveen
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Nijmegen
3:2
Apr 27, 2025 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Nijmegen
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Heerenveen
3:0
Mar 10, 2024 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Heerenveen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heerenveen 58 / 100
Nijmegen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heerenveen Nijmegen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heerenveen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nijmegen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 37 matches.

Attacking prowess: Heerenveen scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Heerenveen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heerenveen VS Nijmegen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Heerenveen

(Home)
16 Oct
Heerenveen
4 : 0
Excelsior
09 Oct
PSV
2 : 0
Heerenveen
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4
Heerenveen
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6

Nijmegen

(Away)
22 Oct
Din. Zagreb
2 : 4
Nijmegen
18 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Sittard
15 Oct
Nijmegen
1 : 1
Levski Sofia
10 Oct
Ajax
1 : 1
Nijmegen
20 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 1
G.A. Eagles
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 9 7 2 0 31:10 23
2 AZ Alkmaar 9 6 2 1 20:10 20
3 PSV 9 6 1 2 27:12 19
4 Ajax 9 5 3 1 27:12 18
5 Twente 9 5 2 2 17:10 17
6 Sittard 9 4 3 2 16:17 15
7 Groningen 9 4 2 3 22:19 14
8 G.A. Eagles 10 3 5 2 23:23 14
9 Heerenveen 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
10 Excelsior 9 3 2 4 16:18 11
11 Utrecht 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
12 Nijmegen 9 2 4 3 15:16 10
13 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 3 4 16:22 9
14 Cambuur 9 2 3 4 13:21 9
15 Zwolle 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Den Haag 9 1 3 5 11:20 6
17 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
18 Willem II 9 0 2 7 9:26 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)