Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heeslinger SC vs Rotenburger

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Bargfrede P.
90' Event
Lohmann N.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024 game between Heeslinger SC and Rotenburger finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Heeslinger SC
30%
Draws
23%
Rotenburger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Heeslinger SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Heeslinger SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Heeslinger SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Heeslinger SC Clean Sheet 20%
Rotenburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heeslinger SC Rotenburger
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2024 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Heeslinger SC vs Rotenburger
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Rotenburger vs Heeslinger SC
2:0
Feb 19, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Rotenburger vs Heeslinger SC
2:0
Aug 26, 2022 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Heeslinger SC vs Rotenburger
2:1
Dec 12, 2021 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Rotenburger vs Heeslinger SC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heeslinger SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bargfrede P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Rotenburger Compare

Top Goalscorer Lohmann N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heeslinger SC 85 / 100
Rotenburger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heeslinger SC Rotenburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heeslinger SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heeslinger SC scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Rotenburger has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Heeslinger SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heeslinger SC VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Heeslinger SC

(Home)
16 Aug
Heeslinger SC
1 : 1
Braunschweig U23
08 Aug
Hemmingen-Westerfeld
0 : 3
Heeslinger SC
19 Jul
Bremer
0 : 1
Heeslinger SC
14 Jul
Heeslinger SC
1 : 3
VfB Oldenburg
17 May
Heeslinger SC
4 : 4
Spelle-Venhaus
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Rotenburger

(Away)
18 Jan
Werder Bremen II
6 : 1
Rotenburger
19 Jan
Rotenburger
0 : 7
Werder Bremen II
20 May
Rotenburger
1 : 1
Vorsfelde
17 May
Rotenburger
3 : 0
Hildesheim
15 May
Eintracht Celle
4 : 2
Rotenburger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Emden 34 28 2 4 97:31 86
2 TuS Bersenbruck 34 21 6 7 83:49 69
3 Delmenhorst 34 20 3 11 64:44 63
4 Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg 34 17 8 9 61:45 59
5 Hildesheim 34 17 8 9 63:50 59
6 Egestorf-Langreder 34 16 7 11 56:45 55
7 BSV Rehden 34 16 6 12 55:43 54
8 Vorsfelde 34 15 9 10 54:49 54
9 Meppen II 34 14 7 13 50:53 49
10 VfL Oldenburg 34 14 6 14 59:59 48
11 Heeslinger SC 34 12 11 11 55:56 47
12 Eintracht Celle 34 11 7 16 61:72 40
13 Schoningen 34 10 8 16 53:69 38
14 Arminia Hannover 34 8 7 19 41:63 31
15 Rotenburger 34 8 7 19 39:66 31
16 Ramlingen-Ehlershausen 34 6 11 17 46:75 29
17 Eilvese 34 6 4 24 47:71 22
18 Blau-Weiss Bornreihe 34 4 9 21 36:80 21
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024 (Promotion)