Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Atmosfera

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Fujiyoshi M.
45' Event
Gritkus E.
53' Event
Seki K.

AI Match Summary

FK Atmosfera in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Atmosfera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
40%
Draws
29%
FK Atmosfera
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Atmosfera lately — more wins on the board than Hegelmann Litauen 2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hegelmann Litauen 2 FK Atmosfera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Atmosfera
0:3
Jul 27, 2025 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
2:2
Mar 16, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Atmosfera
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
2:1
Apr 7, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Atmosfera
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FK Atmosfera Compare

Top Goalscorer Fujiyoshi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gritkus E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 30 / 100
FK Atmosfera 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hegelmann Litauen 2 FK Atmosfera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Atmosfera conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Hegelmann Litauen 2's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Hegelmann Litauen 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS FK Atmosfera
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Home)
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1
Jonava
20 Jun
BFA Vilnius
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
12 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
30 May
Tauras Taurage
6 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
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FK Atmosfera

(Away)
01 Jul
FK Atmosfera
0 : 1
BE1 NFA
27 Jun
Ekranas
1 : 2
FK Atmosfera
20 Jun
FK Atmosfera
0 : 1
FK Minija
12 Jun
Jonava
1 : 1
FK Atmosfera
30 May
FK Atmosfera
2 : 0
Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija16141141:1043
2FK Babrungas16133028:442
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Tauras Taurage16101530:1731
5Neptunas1591520:1728
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7BFA Vilnius1681722:2525
8Garliava1564522:1422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1645719:2217
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas16211316:337
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21621137:267
16Siauliai 216141114:387
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)