Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jonaitis L.
75' Event
Sinkevicius D.

AI Match Summary

Hegelmann Litauen 2 in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hegelmann Litauen 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
22%
Draws
18%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hegelmann Litauen 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Hegelmann Litauen 2 at 1.25 per game, FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 at 0.5.
  • Model gives Hegelmann Litauen 2 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 16%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hegelmann Litauen 2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 3 2
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1:5
Apr 18, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
2:0
Sep 16, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
0:2
Apr 29, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonaitis L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sinkevicius D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 57 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hegelmann Litauen 2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Home)
21 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 2
Zalgiris 2
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
27 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 : 1
Jonava
20 Jun
BFA Vilnius
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
12 Jun
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
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FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Away)
19 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2
FK Babrungas
28 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
BFA Vilnius
24 Jun
FK Babrungas
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
18 Jun
Neptunas
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
12 Jun
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2
Dainava Alytus
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija16141141:1043
2FK Babrungas16133028:442
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Tauras Taurage16101530:1731
5Neptunas1692522:1929
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7BFA Vilnius1681722:2525
8Garliava1564522:1422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21663723:2521
11Jonava1645719:2217
12Transinvest 21643915:3815
13Hegelmann Litauen 216411116:3413
14Ekranas16211316:337
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21621137:267
16Siauliai 216141114:387
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)