Sport Picks

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Garliava Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania

I Lyga

Match Events

40'

Rakasius T.

(Penalty)

56'

Jonavicius E.

69'

Sinkevicius D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hegelmann Litauen 2 host Garliava in the I Lyga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Hegelmann Litauen 2 at 1.03 goals for, 2.24 against; Garliava at 1.24 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Hegelmann Litauen 2 have won 0 to Garliava's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.81) point toward Garliava. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Hegelmann Litauen 2

15%

Draws

28%

Garliava

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hegelmann Litauen 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Hegelmann Litauen 2 haven't matched Garliava's recent run of results.
57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Garliava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hegelmann Litauen 2	Garliava
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	10
Draws	2	4
Losses	20	15
Goals Scored	1.03	1.24
Goals Conceded	2.24	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 I Lyga

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Garliava

0:3

Mar 21, 2026 I Lyga

Garliava vs Hegelmann Litauen 2

1:1

Oct 11, 2024 I Lyga

Garliava vs Hegelmann Litauen 2

2:0

May 26, 2024 I Lyga

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Garliava

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinkevicius D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Jonavicius E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Garliava Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 29 / 100

Garliava 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Garliava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hegelmann Litauen 2 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garliava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Garliava lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Hegelmann Litauen 2's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hegelmann Litauen 2 VS Garliava

1.25 Goals Scored 0.63

3 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 38%

100% Over 2.5 25%

63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History