Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Transinvest 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hegelmann Litauen 2 play Transinvest 2 in the I Lyga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hegelmann Litauen 2 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Transinvest 2 averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, Hegelmann Litauen 2 won 0, Transinvest 2 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 11, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Hegelmann Litauen 2 and 1.38 for Transinvest 2. This points to a Transinvest 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
15%
Draws
48%
Transinvest 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Transinvest 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Hegelmann Litauen 2 picked up more points recently compared to Transinvest 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Transinvest 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hegelmann Litauen 2 Transinvest 2
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 8 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Transinvest 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonaitis L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Transinvest 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamasevicius A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petkus N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 37 / 100
Transinvest 2 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Transinvest 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Transinvest 2 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hegelmann Litauen 2 attacking → ← attacking Transinvest 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hegelmann Litauen 2 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Transinvest 2 let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Transinvest 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 14
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Minija15131139:940
2FK Babrungas15123026:439
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Neptunas1591520:1728
5Tauras Taurage1591527:1628
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7Garliava1564522:1422
8BFA Vilnius1571718:2422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1545618:2017
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas15211215:297
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21521127:247
16Siauliai 215141013:357