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Heidelberg Utd vs Bentleigh Greens Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Olympic Park Stadium, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Bramwell C.
22' Event
Humbert M.
46'
Nikolaidis D.

AI Match Summary

Heidelberg Utd in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heidelberg Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Heidelberg Utd
20%
Draws
36%
Bentleigh Greens
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heidelberg Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heidelberg Utd lately — more wins on the board than Bentleigh Greens.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Heidelberg Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heidelberg Utd Bentleigh Greens
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Bentleigh Greens
2:0
May 15, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg Utd
2:2
Jun 24, 2023 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Heidelberg Utd
1:1
Mar 24, 2023 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Bentleigh Greens
3:1
Jun 5, 2022 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Bentleigh Greens
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heidelberg Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Bramwell C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Humbert M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heidelberg Utd 36 / 100
Bentleigh Greens 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heidelberg Utd Bentleigh Greens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bentleigh Greens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heidelberg Utd found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Bentleigh Greens's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Heidelberg Utd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heidelberg Utd VS Bentleigh Greens
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Heidelberg Utd

(Home)
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
23 Aug
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Heidelberg Utd
15 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
4 : 5
Hume City
12 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 0
Heidelberg Utd
Page 1 of 6

Bentleigh Greens

(Away)
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6
Bentleigh Greens
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1
Bentleigh Greens
31 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
0 : 0
Oakleigh Cannons
24 Jul
Preston Lions
1 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)