Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heidelberg Utd vs Oakleigh Cannons

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Olympic Park Stadium, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Tratt J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between Heidelberg Utd and Oakleigh Cannons finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oakleigh Cannons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Heidelberg Utd
15%
Draws
42%
Oakleigh Cannons
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heidelberg Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oakleigh Cannons come out ahead of Heidelberg Utd on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Oakleigh Cannons taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Heidelberg Utd Clean Sheet 12%
Oakleigh Cannons Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heidelberg Utd Oakleigh Cannons
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.53 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Oakleigh Cannons
0:1
Mar 13, 2026 NPL Victoria
Oakleigh Cannons vs Heidelberg Utd
2:3
Aug 15, 2025 NPL Victoria
Heidelberg Utd vs Oakleigh Cannons
1:1
May 2, 2025 NPL Victoria
Oakleigh Cannons vs Heidelberg Utd
1:2
Aug 28, 2024 Australia Cup
Oakleigh Cannons vs Heidelberg Utd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heidelberg Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Oakleigh Cannons Compare

Top Goalscorer Tratt J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heidelberg Utd 22 / 100
Oakleigh Cannons 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heidelberg Utd Oakleigh Cannons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oakleigh Cannons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heidelberg Utd found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Oakleigh Cannons let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Oakleigh Cannons lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heidelberg Utd VS Oakleigh Cannons
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heidelberg Utd

(Home)
06 Sept
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Heidelberg Utd
29 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
2 : 0
Bentleigh Greens
23 Aug
South Melbourne
1 : 2
Heidelberg Utd
15 Aug
Heidelberg Utd
4 : 5
Hume City
12 Aug
North Sunshine Eagles
1 : 0
Heidelberg Utd
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Oakleigh Cannons

(Away)
25 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
0 : 2
Melbourne City
19 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
0 : 1
Avondale FC
11 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 1
South Melbourne
29 Aug
Oakleigh Cannons
2 : 3
Dandenong City SC
22 Aug
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 5
Oakleigh Cannons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)