Sport Picks

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Heidenheim vs Hamburger

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Gronbaek A.
49' Event
Philippe R.
54' Event
Mhamdi O.

AI Match Summary

Hamburger in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamburger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Heidenheim
6%
Draws
4%
Hamburger
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Heidenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Heidenheim average 2.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Hamburger's 1.63.
  • Heidenheim are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hamburger here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 16%
Hamburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heidenheim Hamburger
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
1:3
Feb 7, 2026 Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
0:2
Oct 28, 2025 DFB Pokal
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Bundesliga
Hamburger vs Heidenheim
2:1
Feb 11, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim vs Hamburger
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heidenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Mhamdi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Hamburger Compare

Top Goalscorer Gronbaek A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Philippe R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heidenheim 84 / 100
Hamburger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heidenheim Hamburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hamburger conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Heidenheim found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Heidenheim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heidenheim VS Hamburger
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heidenheim

(Home)
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3
Hamburger
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1
Heidenheim
15 Jul
Nordlingen
0 : 9
Heidenheim
11 Jul
TSV Langenau
0 : 12
Heidenheim
10 Jul
Heidenheim
0 : 1
Lugano
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Hamburger

(Away)
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3
Hamburger
18 Jul
Rapid Vienna
3 : 2
Hamburger
16 May
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1
Hamburger
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2
Freiburg
02 May
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 2
Hamburger
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