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Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein game between Heider SV and Kilia Kiel finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heider SV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Heider SV
15%
Draws
45%
Kilia Kiel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilia Kiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Kilia Kiel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Kilia Kiel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Heider SV Clean Sheet 10%
Kilia Kiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heider SV Kilia Kiel
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.77 2.86
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel
4:1
Mar 27, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV
5:0
Sep 20, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel
4:3
Mar 15, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Kilia Kiel vs Heider SV
5:3
Sep 7, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heider SV 22 / 100
Kilia Kiel 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heider SV Kilia Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kilia Kiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heider SV's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Kilia Kiel conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Heider SV has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heider SV VS Kilia Kiel
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heider SV

(Home)
10 Oct
Heider SV
2 : 0
Phonix Lubeck B
04 Oct
Oldenburger SV
4 : 0
Heider SV
26 Sept
Eichede
5 : 1
Heider SV
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1
Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
PSV Neumunster
2 : 4
Heider SV
Page 1 of 6

Kilia Kiel

(Away)
10 Oct
Kilia Kiel
4 : 2
Lubeck II
03 Oct
Eckernforder SV
1 : 6
Kilia Kiel
26 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck B
19 Sept
Heider SV
4 : 1
Kilia Kiel
12 Sept
Kilia Kiel
2 : 1
Eichede
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holstein Kiel II 11 8 2 1 40:15 26
2 VfR Neumunster 11 7 3 1 30:15 24
3 Kilia Kiel 12 7 3 2 32:19 24
4 Rotenhof 12 6 4 2 27:21 22
5 TSB Flensburg 11 6 2 3 32:15 20
6 SC Rapid Lubeck 12 6 1 5 26:28 19
7 Oldenburger SV 11 5 2 4 30:24 17
8 Heider SV 12 5 2 5 21:31 17
9 PSV Neumunster 12 4 4 4 25:25 16
10 Eichede 11 3 4 4 18:14 13
11 Phonix Lubeck B 12 3 4 5 26:30 13
12 Nordmark Satrup 12 3 2 7 14:27 11
13 Hohenwestedt 12 2 4 6 21:30 10
14 Lubeck II 12 3 1 8 17:32 10
15 Eckernforder SV 11 3 0 8 19:34 9
16 Kaltenkirchener 12 2 2 8 18:36 8
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Main)