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Heimstetten vs FC Schwaig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
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AI Match Summary

FC Schwaig in this Oberliga Bayern Süd matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Schwaig.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Heimstetten
35%
Draws
42%
FC Schwaig
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Schwaig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Heimstetten average 1.93 goals a game right now, well clear of FC Schwaig's 1.7.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Heimstetten Clean Sheet 10%
FC Schwaig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heimstetten FC Schwaig
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 13
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.93 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.53 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs FC Schwaig
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs FC Schwaig
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
FC Schwaig vs Heimstetten
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heimstetten 30 / 100
FC Schwaig 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heimstetten FC Schwaig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Schwaig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Heimstetten scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

FC Schwaig has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Heimstetten has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heimstetten VS FC Schwaig
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heimstetten

(Home)
10 Oct
Ismaning
3 : 2
Heimstetten
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
26 Sept
Kirchanschoring
0 : 4
Heimstetten
18 Sept
Heimstetten
2 : 2
Gundelfingen
11 Sept
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
5 : 1
Heimstetten
Page 1 of 6

FC Schwaig

(Away)
10 Oct
Landshut
1 : 2
FC Schwaig
02 Oct
FC Schwaig
0 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
25 Sept
Hankofen-Hailing
1 : 3
FC Schwaig
18 Sept
FC Schwaig
1 : 1
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
12 Sept
Pfaffenhofen
3 : 3
FC Schwaig
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 14 10 2 2 40:17 32
2 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 14 9 1 4 33:23 28
3 SV Erlbach 14 7 5 2 18:7 26
4 Landshut 14 7 4 3 27:16 25
5 Hankofen-Hailing 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
6 FC Schwaig 14 5 8 1 27:16 23
7 Pfaffenhofen 14 6 5 3 25:24 23
8 Ismaning 14 6 2 6 29:21 20
9 Munich 1860 II 14 4 5 5 28:27 17
10 Gundelfingen 14 4 5 5 21:22 17
11 Heimstetten 14 4 5 5 25:27 17
12 TSV Schwabmunchen 14 4 4 6 27:28 16
13 Kottern-St. Mang 14 4 4 6 12:18 16
14 Deisenhofen 14 3 4 7 19:31 13
15 Kirchanschoring 14 3 3 8 18:31 12
16 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 14 2 5 7 17:27 11
17 Geretsried 14 3 2 9 14:30 11
18 Schalding 14 2 4 8 18:42 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)