Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heimstetten vs Geretsried

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd game between Heimstetten and Geretsried finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Heimstetten
30%
Draws
0%
Geretsried
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Heimstetten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Heimstetten come out ahead of Geretsried on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Heimstetten's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Heimstetten Clean Sheet 13%
Geretsried Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heimstetten Geretsried
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs Geretsried
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs Geretsried
5:1
Aug 8, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Geretsried vs Heimstetten
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heimstetten 84 / 100
Geretsried 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heimstetten Geretsried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heimstetten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heimstetten's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Geretsried's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Geretsried has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heimstetten VS Geretsried
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heimstetten

(Home)
18 Sept
Heimstetten
2 : 2
Gundelfingen
11 Sept
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
5 : 1
Heimstetten
04 Sept
Heimstetten
4 : 2
Deisenhofen
28 Aug
Landshut
3 : 3
Heimstetten
25 Aug
Pfaffenhofen
1 : 1
Heimstetten
Page 1 of 6

Geretsried

(Away)
19 Sept
Geretsried
0 : 3
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
12 Sept
Deisenhofen
4 : 0
Geretsried
05 Sept
Geretsried
0 : 1
Landshut
28 Aug
Hankofen-Hailing
1 : 0
Geretsried
22 Aug
Geretsried
2 : 3
Pfaffenhofen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 10 7 1 2 29:13 22
2 Landshut 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
3 SV Erlbach 11 6 3 2 14:5 21
4 Hankofen-Hailing 10 5 4 1 19:11 19
5 FC Schwaig 11 3 7 1 22:14 16
6 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 10 5 1 4 22:19 16
7 Pfaffenhofen 10 4 4 2 18:19 16
8 Ismaning 10 4 2 4 20:14 14
9 Gundelfingen 11 3 5 3 16:19 14
10 Munich 1860 II 11 3 4 4 22:22 13
11 Heimstetten 11 3 4 4 19:24 13
12 Deisenhofen 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
13 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 11 2 5 4 16:17 11
14 TSV Schwabmunchen 10 2 3 5 20:21 9
15 Kirchanschoring 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
16 Kottern-St. Mang 10 2 2 6 8:17 8
17 Geretsried 10 2 2 6 11:22 8
18 Schalding 10 1 4 5 13:30 7
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)