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Heimstetten vs SV Erlbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd game between Heimstetten and SV Erlbach finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Heimstetten
35%
Draws
32%
SV Erlbach
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SV Erlbach come out ahead of Heimstetten on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Heimstetten's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Heimstetten Clean Sheet 14%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heimstetten SV Erlbach
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs SV Erlbach
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs SV Erlbach
3:2
Oct 2, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Heimstetten
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Heimstetten
3:0
Jul 30, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs SV Erlbach
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heimstetten 35 / 100
SV Erlbach 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heimstetten SV Erlbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heimstetten's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Heimstetten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

SV Erlbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Heimstetten VS SV Erlbach
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Heimstetten

(Home)
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
26 Sept
Kirchanschoring
0 : 4
Heimstetten
18 Sept
Heimstetten
2 : 2
Gundelfingen
11 Sept
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
5 : 1
Heimstetten
04 Sept
Heimstetten
4 : 2
Deisenhofen
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SV Erlbach

(Away)
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0
SV Erlbach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 14 10 2 2 40:17 32
2 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 14 9 1 4 33:23 28
3 SV Erlbach 14 7 5 2 18:7 26
4 Landshut 14 7 4 3 27:16 25
5 Hankofen-Hailing 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
6 FC Schwaig 14 5 8 1 27:16 23
7 Pfaffenhofen 14 6 5 3 25:24 23
8 Ismaning 14 6 2 6 29:21 20
9 Munich 1860 II 14 4 5 5 28:27 17
10 Gundelfingen 14 4 5 5 21:22 17
11 Heimstetten 14 4 5 5 25:27 17
12 TSV Schwabmunchen 14 4 4 6 27:28 16
13 Kottern-St. Mang 14 4 4 6 12:18 16
14 Deisenhofen 14 3 4 7 19:31 13
15 Kirchanschoring 14 3 3 8 18:31 12
16 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 14 2 5 7 17:27 11
17 Geretsried 14 3 2 9 14:30 11
18 Schalding 14 2 4 8 18:42 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)