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Heimstetten vs SV Erlbach Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Heimstetten in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heimstetten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Heimstetten
30%
Draws
39%
SV Erlbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SV Erlbach lately — more wins on the board than Heimstetten.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Heimstetten Clean Sheet 12%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heimstetten SV Erlbach
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs SV Erlbach
3:2
Oct 2, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Heimstetten
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Heimstetten
3:0
Jul 30, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs SV Erlbach
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Heimstetten vs SV Erlbach
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heimstetten 35 / 100
SV Erlbach 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heimstetten SV Erlbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heimstetten's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Heimstetten has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SV Erlbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Heimstetten VS SV Erlbach
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Heimstetten

(Home)
26 Sept
Kirchanschoring
0 : 4
Heimstetten
18 Sept
Heimstetten
2 : 2
Gundelfingen
11 Sept
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
5 : 1
Heimstetten
04 Sept
Heimstetten
4 : 2
Deisenhofen
28 Aug
Landshut
3 : 3
Heimstetten
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SV Erlbach

(Away)
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0
SV Erlbach
28 Aug
SV Erlbach
2 : 0
Ismaning
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Munich 1860 II 32 21 5 6 74:26 68
2 Landsberg 32 18 11 3 79:43 65
3 Kirchanschoring 32 16 10 6 67:35 58
4 Gundelfingen 32 16 7 9 51:33 55
5 SV Erlbach 32 16 5 11 42:35 53
6 Pipinsried 32 15 7 10 58:37 52
7 Heimstetten 32 14 9 9 64:46 51
8 Deisenhofen 32 13 10 9 44:47 49
9 FC Schwaig 32 12 9 11 48:44 45
10 Geretsried 32 12 8 12 49:46 44
11 Nordlingen 32 11 11 10 58:58 44
12 Ismaning 32 11 9 12 50:58 42
13 Schalding 32 9 11 12 43:50 38
14 Kottern-St. Mang 32 9 6 17 40:57 33
15 FC Sturm Hauzenberg 32 6 5 21 24:64 23
16 Turkspor Augsburg 32 4 5 23 28:83 17
17 Turkgucu Munchen 32 3 4 25 21:78 13
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)