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Heist vs KV Mechelen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Diouf G.
52' Event
Vanrafelghem K.

AI Match Summary

KV Mechelen in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KV Mechelen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Heist
40%
Draws
29%
KV Mechelen
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Heist have won more games recently than KV Mechelen.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Heist Clean Sheet 20%
KV Mechelen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heist KV Mechelen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Heist vs KV Mechelen
2:2
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Heist vs KV Mechelen
0:1
Jul 3, 2019 Club Friendly
Heist vs KV Mechelen
0:0
Jun 20, 2018 Club Friendly
Heist vs KV Mechelen
2:3
Jul 1, 2015 Club Friendly
Heist vs KV Mechelen
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heist Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

KV Mechelen Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanrafelghem K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heist 32 / 100
KV Mechelen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heist KV Mechelen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heist scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: KV Mechelen conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Heist stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heist VS KV Mechelen
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%