Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hellin Deportivo vs Villarrubia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015
Sun, May 3, 2015
0 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hellin Deportivo play Villarrubia in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015. Villarrubia are favorites here. Recently, Hellin Deportivo averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Villarrubia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Hellin Deportivo won 1, Villarrubia won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2015 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Hellin Deportivo and 1.11 for Villarrubia. This points to a Villarrubia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hellin Deportivo
6%
Draws
90%
Villarrubia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Villarrubia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hellin Deportivo.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Villarrubia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Hellin Deportivo Clean Sheet 20%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hellin Deportivo Villarrubia
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 2 16
Draws 1 6
Losses 29 11
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hellin Deportivo vs Villarrubia
0:2
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Hellin Deportivo
2:0
Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Hellin Deportivo
0:3
Sep 8, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hellin Deportivo vs Villarrubia
0:1
May 5, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Hellin Deportivo
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hellin Deportivo 10 / 100
Villarrubia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hellin Deportivo Villarrubia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hellin Deportivo scored in 9% of their last 32 games.

Villarrubia let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hellin Deportivo went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Villarrubia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villarrubia
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CF Talavera38259485:2784
2UD Almansa38247762:3279
3Quintanar del Rey382112548:1975
4Manzanares382110759:2473
5Madridejos382012643:2172
6Villarrubia381714750:3565
7Marchamalo381781355:5159
8Mora CF381691351:3957
9Villarrobledo381591458:4954
10CD Puertollano3814111354:4653
11CD Pedroneras381491545:3751
12Toledo 2381622047:5550
13Atletico Ibanes3812121442:4048
14Albacete B381381759:5647
15Manchego Ciudad Real381371847:5746
16Almagro3811111643:4444
17La Gineta3811101739:5343
18Daimiel381172039:6740
19Alcazar38253121:11711
20Hellin Deportivo3802363:812