Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Lall R.
51'
51'
Kontkar M.
51'
51'
Kontkar M.
AI Match Summary
Elva in this Estonian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Elva lately — more wins on the board than Helm.
- 32% — that's where the model lands on Helm taking it.
- Elva arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Elva, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Helm Clean Sheet 12%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Helm | Elva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 4.07 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.27 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2024 Estonian Cup
Helm vs Elva
1:5
Jul 11, 2021 Estonian Cup
Elva vs Helm
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Helm Compare
Top Goalscorer Lall R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2
Elva Compare
Top Goalscorer Villems M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Poldsaar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Helm 83 / 100
Elva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Helm Elva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Helm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Helm's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 15 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Elva has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Helm went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Helm VS Elva
16 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Helm
(Home) 23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
18 Jun
Helm
30 : 0 Deliirium
20 Aug
Flora
14 : 0 Helm
01 Aug
Kohvile
0 : 4 Helm
28 Aug
Helm
1 : 5 Elva
Page 1 of 3
18 Jun
Helm
30 : 0 Deliirium
28 Aug
Helm
1 : 5 Elva
30 Aug
Helm
3 : 7 Tallinna Kalev U21
29 Jul
Helm
2 : 0 Parnu
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4 Rakvere
Page 1 of 2
Elva
(Away) 30 Aug
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1 Elva
24 Aug
Elva
0 : 0 Flora Tallinn U21
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0 Maardu Linnameeskond
15 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 0 Elva
12 Aug
Elva
: Raasiku Joker
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1 Elva
15 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 0 Elva
01 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 2 Elva
22 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
0 : 6 Elva
16 Jul
Viimsi JK
1 : 3 Elva
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kubik -
TBD -
TBD -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
FC Hell Hunt -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Tabasalu 6
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Tallinna GameSport -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
EstHam United -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Tartu -
Kristiine -
TBD -
Legion 3
Raplamaa 1
Johvi Phoenix -
TBD -
TBD -
Kohvile -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu -
Tamper 4
JK Poseidon 1
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Saue JK Laagri 0
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
Eston Villa -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
Viimsi JK 0
Kuressaare 1
Kose 1
Tartu Kalev 6
TBD -
Pelgu City -
Loo JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Helm -
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik 2
Zealot Sporting 1
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Kuusalu Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu Helios -
Saae Latte -
TBD -
TBD -
Hiiumaa -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Sillamae Silmet -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Kose II 0
Harju JK Laagri 26
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 4
Soccernet 0
Narva -
TBD -
TBD -
Arukula Vigri -
FC Lootos Polva -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Starmedia -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Tallinna Smsraha -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Vastseliina Tannem 5
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Tabasalu Ulasabat -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
1/32-finals
Kubik 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu 3
Saku Sporting 1
FC Tallinn 2
Tallinna GameSport 0
Tammeka Tartu 24
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
EstHam United 0
Inter Tartu 4
Kristiine 0
Legion 5
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kohvile 1
Maksatransport 3
Parnu 1
Tamper 3
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
Tartu JK Welco 2
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Kalju 11
Eston Villa 1
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Maardu Aliens 0
Kuressaare 12
Tartu Kalev 7
Pelgu City 0
Loo JK 2
Helm 4
Tallinna Wolves 0
Elva 8
Levadia -
TBD -
Tulevik 3
Jarva-Jaani 0
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Tartu Helios 4
Saae Latte 2
Hiiumaa 6
Flora U19 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 6
Tallinna FC Zapoos 4
Sillamae Silmet 3
TransferWise 0
Harju JK Laagri 15
Nomme Utd 9
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 0
Narva 7
Arukula Vigri 0
FC Lootos Polva 0
Tallinna Starmedia 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 11
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tallinna Smsraha 1
FC Ararat 3
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu 5
Rumori Calcio 1
1/16-finals
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Tabasalu 2
FC Tallinn 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev 14
Inter Tartu 0
Legion 4
Johvi Phoenix 3
Maksatransport 0
Tamper 3
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Kalju 7
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 7
Tartu Kalev 0
Helm 1
Elva 5
Levadia 8
Tulevik 1
Tartu Helios 1
Hiiumaa 3
Tallinna Kalev U21 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 5
Harju JK Laagri 3
Nomme Utd 0
Narva 6
Tallinna Starmedia 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 10
FC Ararat 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 6
1/8-finals
Tabasalu 1
FC Tallinn 3
Tallinna Kalev 3
Legion 0
Tamper 0
Kalju 9
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 1
Elva 1
Levadia 3
Hiiumaa 2
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
Harju JK Laagri 0
Narva 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 3
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Quarter-finals
FC Tallinn 0
Tallinna Kalev 5
Kalju 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Levadia 7
Tallinna FC Zapoos 0
Narva 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Semi-finals
Tallinna Kalev 0
Kalju 5
Levadia 1
Narva 0
Final
Kalju 4
Levadia 3
