Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2023/2024

Helm

2 - 0

Parnu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Helm in this Estonian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Helm

15%

Draws

Parnu

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Helm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Helm have won more games recently than Parnu.
85% — that's where the model lands on Helm taking it.
Helm have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Helm, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Helm Clean Sheet 10%

Parnu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Helm	Parnu
Matches Played	15	31
Wins	7	6
Draws	0	4
Losses	8	21
Goals Scored	4.07	1.19
Goals Conceded	4.27	2.61
Expected Goals (xG)	4.00	2.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2023 Estonian Cup

Helm vs Parnu

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helm 83 / 100

Parnu 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Helm Parnu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Helm Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Helm found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (15 games).

Parnu has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Parnu registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Helm VS Parnu

7.4 Goals Scored 1.38

4.4 Goals Conceded 3

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 63%

100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Helm

(Home)

23 Jul

JK Poseidon

3 : 2

Helm

18 Jun

Helm

30 : 0

Deliirium

20 Aug

Flora

14 : 0

Helm

01 Aug

Kohvile

0 : 4

Helm

28 Aug

Helm

1 : 5

Elva

Page 1 of 3

Parnu

(Away)

10 Nov

Kuressaare U21

3 : 1

Parnu

03 Nov

Parnu

1 : 10

Kalju U21

27 Oct

Laanemaa Haapsalu

2 : 1

Parnu

24 Oct

Parnu

2 : 3

Tartu Kalev

20 Oct

Johvi Phoenix

6 : 3

Parnu

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Tartu JK Welco 2 -

TBD -

Tartu Kalev 9

FC Sssolutions 0

TBD -

Levadia -

Tallinna Kalev III 0

Legion 10

TBD -

Johvi Phoenix -

Tammeka Tartu -

TBD -

Imavere Forss -

Flora -

TBD -

Parnu JK Vaprus -

TBD -

FC Alliance -

Elva -

TBD -

Saue JK Laagri -

Tervis Parnu -

TBD -

FCP Parnu -

Maksatransport -

TBD -

Loo JK -

Raplamaa -

TBD -

Laanemaa Haapsalu -

Valga Warrior -

TBD -

JK Poseidon -

Arukula Vigri -

TBD -

Flora IV -

Maardu Aliens -

TBD -

FC Tallinn -

Kristiine 2

Kohvile 3

Viimsi JK 4

Paide Linnameeskond III 0

Narva -

TBD -

Pohja-Tallinna 2

Rumori Calcio 4

Zenit Tallinn 3

Hiiumaa 1

Tallinna Gorillad -

TBD -

Tabasalu -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

Helm -

TBD -

Parnu -

Saku Sporting -

TBD -

Tallinna Kalev U21 -

Jogeva Wolves 0

Kuressaare 8

TBD -

Jarva-Jaani -

Sillamae Silmet -

TBD -

Kose -

Flora Tallinn U21 -

TBD -

Keila JK 11

JK Jalgpallihaigla 0

Legion II -

TBD -

Soccernet -

Kalju -

TBD -

Tabasalu Ulasabat 4

Flora U19 0

TransferWise 1

Tallinna Wolves 0

TBD -

Tulevik -

Rumori Calcio II -

TBD -

Olympic Tallinn -

Harju JK Laagri -

TBD -

Pelgu City -

Tallinna FC Zapoos -

TBD -

Vandra Vaprus -

Tartu JK Welco -

TBD -

Tallinna Kalev 20

Vana Hea Puur 0

Drakon 0

Nomme Utd 12

TBD -

Tallinn Piraaja -

Eston Villa -

TBD -

Marjamaa Kompanii -

1/32-finals

Tartu JK Welco 2 2

Tartu Kalev 3

TBD -

Levadia -

Legion 3

Johvi Phoenix 0

Tammeka Tartu -

Imavere Forss -

Flora -

TBD -

Parnu JK Vaprus 6

FC Alliance 1

Elva 1

Saue JK Laagri 0

Tervis Parnu 8

FCP Parnu 3

Maksatransport 5

Loo JK 1

Raplamaa 1

Laanemaa Haapsalu 5

Valga Warrior 1

JK Poseidon 6

Arukula Vigri 3

Flora IV 2

Maardu Aliens -

FC Tallinn -

Kohvile 0

Viimsi JK 3

Narva -

TBD -

Rumori Calcio 3

Zenit Tallinn 8

Tallinna Gorillad 0

Tabasalu 16

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

Helm 2

Parnu 0

Saku Sporting 2

Tallinna Kalev U21 3

Kuressaare -

Jarva-Jaani -

Sillamae Silmet 0

Kose 4

Flora Tallinn U21 2

Keila JK 0

Legion II 3

Soccernet 1

Kalju 4

Tabasalu Ulasabat 0

TransferWise 0

Tulevik 3

Rumori Calcio II 0

Olympic Tallinn 3

Harju JK Laagri 12

Pelgu City 0

Tallinna FC Zapoos 6

Vandra Vaprus 0

Tartu JK Welco 0

Tallinna Kalev 4

Nomme Utd 4

Tallinn Piraaja 0

Eston Villa 3

Marjamaa Kompanii 0

1/16-finals

Tartu Kalev 2

Levadia 6

Legion 1

Tammeka Tartu 3

Flora 1

Parnu JK Vaprus 0

Elva 5

Tervis Parnu 2

Maksatransport 0

Laanemaa Haapsalu 3

JK Poseidon 2

Arukula Vigri 3

FC Tallinn 1

Viimsi JK 2

Narva 5

Zenit Tallinn 0

Tabasalu 1

Paide Linnameeskond 3

Helm 3

Tallinna Kalev U21 7

Kuressaare 9

Kose 1

Flora Tallinn U21 13

Legion II 0

Kalju 5

Tulevik 1

Olympic Tallinn 0

Harju JK Laagri 8

Tallinna FC Zapoos 1

Tallinna Kalev 4

Nomme Utd 11

Eston Villa 1

1/8-finals

Levadia 4

Tammeka Tartu 2

Flora 10

Elva 0

Laanemaa Haapsalu 9

Arukula Vigri 1

Viimsi JK 1

Narva 0

Paide Linnameeskond 4

Tallinna Kalev U21 0

Kuressaare 4

Flora Tallinn U21 2

Kalju 3

Harju JK Laagri 1

Tallinna Kalev 3

Nomme Utd 1

Quarter-finals

Levadia 2

Flora 1

Laanemaa Haapsalu 0

Viimsi JK 3

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Kuressaare 0

Kalju 2

Tallinna Kalev 1

Semi-finals

Levadia 1

Viimsi JK 0

Paide Linnameeskond 3

Kalju 1

Final

Levadia 4

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Helm vs Parnu

Estonia

Helm

Parnu

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Helm

Parnu

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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