Sport Picks

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Helmond Sport vs AEK Larnaca

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Bajic R.
29' Event
Bajic R.
34' Event
Janssen J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Helmond Sport and AEK Larnaca finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEK Larnaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Helmond Sport
11%
Draws
80%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • AEK Larnaca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AEK Larnaca's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 16%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helmond Sport AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Helmond Sport vs AEK Larnaca
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Helmond Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Janssen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajic R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helmond Sport 11 / 100
AEK Larnaca 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helmond Sport AEK Larnaca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK Larnaca has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Helmond Sport scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Helmond Sport stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Helmond Sport VS AEK Larnaca
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%