Sport Picks
Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap Prediction & H2H Stats
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie MySteel Stadion, Helmond 
Match Events
9'
9'
Huiberts D.
Assist: Cicero L.
45'
45'
de Jong F.
Assist: Ahmeti N.
46'
46'
Sub
Kaninda N. In: Kania J.
Out: Kaninda N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- De Graafschap have won more games recently than Helmond Sport.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Helmond Sport taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 18%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Helmond Sport | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 2.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport
3:1
May 9, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap
1:4
Sep 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Helmond Sport Compare
Top Goalscorer Huiberts D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
De Graafschap Compare
Top Goalscorer de Jong F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Helmond Sport 67 / 100
De Graafschap 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Helmond Sport De Graafschap
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Helmond Sport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
De Graafschap has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Helmond Sport scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Helmond Sport remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Helmond Sport VS De Graafschap
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Helmond Sport
(Home) 02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 Heracles
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2 Venlo
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 Heracles
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2 Venlo
21 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 Waalwijk
09 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 4
De Graafschap
(Away) 03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0 Den Bosch
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2 NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1 De Graafschap
09 Aug
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Maastricht | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:22 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
