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Helmond Sport vs St. Truiden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Ingason H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Helmond Sport and St. Truiden finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Helmond Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Helmond Sport
15%
Draws
36%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Helmond Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • St. Truiden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Helmond Sport have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 10%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helmond Sport St. Truiden
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Helmond Sport vs St. Truiden
1:0
Jul 14, 2023 Club Friendly
St. Truiden vs Helmond Sport
0:2
Jul 9, 2011 Club Friendly
Helmond Sport vs St. Truiden
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Helmond Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingason H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

St. Truiden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helmond Sport 30 / 100
St. Truiden 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helmond Sport St. Truiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Helmond Sport found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

St. Truiden has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: St. Truiden has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Helmond Sport VS St. Truiden
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Helmond Sport

(Home)
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1
Helmond Sport
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2
Heracles
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0
Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1
Jong PSV
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St. Truiden

(Away)
11 Oct
KV Mechelen
4 : 3
St. Truiden
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
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