Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 GS Staalwerken Stadion

Helmond Sport

2 - 2

Vitesse

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Llonch P.

38'

Lukowicz M.

60'

Sub

Llonch P. In: Makanza N.

Out: Llonch P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Helmond Sport and Vitesse finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Helmond Sport

11%

Draws

80%

Vitesse

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Vitesse come out ahead of Helmond Sport on wins alone.
80% — that's where the model lands on Vitesse taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 14%

Vitesse Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Helmond Sport	Vitesse
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	4	11
Draws	9	10
Losses	16	8
Goals Scored	0.63	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport vs Vitesse

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Sep 20, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs Helmond Sport

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Feb 21, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport vs Vitesse

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Nov 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs Helmond Sport

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Jan 4, 2013 Club Friendly

Vitesse vs Helmond Sport

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Helmond Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukowicz M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Makanza N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannis N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Schikora M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helmond Sport 11 / 100

Vitesse 76 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Helmond Sport Vitesse

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vitesse conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Helmond Sport scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Helmond Sport has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Helmond Sport VS Vitesse

0.63 Goals Scored 1.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	44
16	TOP Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	44
17	Jong AZ Alkmaar	38	12	4	22	61:76	40
18	Helmond Sport	38	10	9	19	42:62	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	35