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Helsingborg Sodra vs Karlskrona

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Helsingborg Sodra play Karlskrona in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2007. It looks like a close match. Recently, Helsingborg Sodra averaged 2.74 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Karlskrona averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Helsingborg Sodra won 1, Karlskrona won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 4, 2007 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Helsingborg Sodra and 1.05 for Karlskrona. This points to a Helsingborg Sodra double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Helsingborg Sodra
15%
Draws
37%
Karlskrona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Helsingborg Sodra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Helsingborg Sodra picked up more points recently compared to Karlskrona.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Helsingborg Sodra Clean Sheet 22%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helsingborg Sodra Karlskrona
Matches Played 23 32
Wins 15 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.74 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2007 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Helsingborg Sodra vs Karlskrona
1:4
Jun 16, 2007 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Helsingborg Sodra
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helsingborg Sodra 48 / 100
Karlskrona 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helsingborg Sodra Karlskrona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Helsingborg Sodra or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Helsingborg Sodra attacking → ← attacking Karlskrona

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Helsingborg Sodra scored in 96% of their last 23 games.

Karlskrona let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Helsingborg Sodra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Karlskrona lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 55
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rosengard22192159:2059
2Helsingborg Sodra22153463:2648
3Lunds Bois22134548:2843
4Hogaborgs22123749:3939
5Karlskrona2295834:3932
6Hollvikens22921130:3929
7IFK Hassleholm2267933:3725
8Solvesborgs22731239:5124
9Laholms22721328:3923
10Nike22631324:4421
11Malmo City22601625:4518
12Almeboda/Linneryd22441423:4816