Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Helsingborg vs Varberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Olympia, Helsingborg
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Borgelin S.
Assist: Winbo A.
29' Event
Johansson A.
Assist: Hasselqvist J.
51' Event
Borgelin S.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Helsingborg and Varberg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Helsingborg
39%
Draws
30%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varberg come out ahead of Helsingborg on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Helsingborg Clean Sheet 10%
Varberg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helsingborg Varberg
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Varberg
1:3
Jul 28, 2025 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Varberg
1:2
May 3, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Helsingborg
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Helsingborg
0:3
Jun 28, 2024 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Varberg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Helsingborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgelin S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Winbo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helsingborg 30 / 100
Varberg 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helsingborg Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Helsingborg's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Varberg let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Helsingborg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Helsingborg VS Varberg
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Helsingborg

(Home)
21 Jul
Falkenberg
2 : 3
Helsingborg
14 Jul
AB Copenhagen
2 : 0
Helsingborg
28 Jun
Sandviken
4 : 2
Helsingborg
21 Jun
Helsingborg
5 : 2
Sundsvall
16 Jun
Varnamo
0 : 1
Helsingborg
Page 1 of 6

Varberg

(Away)
18 Jul
Oddevold
2 : 4
Varberg
11 Jul
Varberg
4 : 2
Norrby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
22 Jun
Varberg
2 : 3
Landskrona
15 Jun
Norrkoping
2 : 0
Varberg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Varberg1593332:1930
2Norrkoping1592426:1029
3Falkenberg1584330:2328
4Landskrona1574422:1625
5Ostersund1574424:1925
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Oddevold1555528:2620
10Sandviken1554624:2319
11Ljungskile1554621:2019
12Brage1645728:2917
13Norrby1538419:2117
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall15301212:349
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)