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Hemel Hempstead vs AFC Totton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hemel Hempstead host AFC Totton in the National League South. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. AFC Totton have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Hemel Hempstead have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.17. Head-to-head, Hemel Hempstead have won 3 to AFC Totton's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.00, favoring Hemel Hempstead. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Hemel Hempstead
30%
Draws
0%
AFC Totton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hemel Hempstead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Hemel Hempstead's 1.17 goals per match outpaces what AFC Totton have produced (1.07).
  • Hemel Hempstead are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hemel Hempstead have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Totton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hemel Hempstead AFC Totton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs AFC Totton
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 National League South
AFC Totton vs Hemel Hempstead
2:1
Jan 25, 2014 Southern Premier League
AFC Totton vs Hemel Hempstead
1:4
Nov 26, 2013 Southern Premier League
Hemel Hempstead vs AFC Totton
8:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hemel Hempstead 85 / 100
AFC Totton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hemel Hempstead AFC Totton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hemel Hempstead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Totton has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: AFC Totton registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hemel Hempstead found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Hemel Hempstead VS AFC Totton
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hemel Hempstead

(Home)
10 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2
Hemel Hempstead
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
Page 1 of 6

AFC Totton

(Away)
10 Oct
AFC Totton
0 : 1
Walton & Hersham
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0
AFC Totton
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2
Gloucester City
12 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 1
Slough Town
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1
AFC Totton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 11 7 1 3 20:12 22
2 Salisbury 11 6 3 2 20:8 21
3 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
4 Truro 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
5 Dagenham & Red. 11 6 2 3 10:7 20
6 Weston-super-Mare 11 5 3 3 19:11 18
7 Dover Ath. 11 5 3 3 18:17 18
8 Tonbridge 11 5 2 4 20:11 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 11 4 5 2 23:17 17
10 Farnham 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
11 Torquay 11 4 4 3 18:15 16
12 Ebbsfleet 7 4 3 0 9:3 15
13 Chelmsford 10 2 8 0 14:8 14
14 Hemel Hempstead 11 3 5 3 10:10 14
15 Folkestone 11 3 4 4 16:13 13
16 Maidenhead 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
17 Horsham FC 10 2 5 3 10:12 11
18 Farnborough 10 3 2 5 8:17 11
19 Chesham 11 3 1 7 16:24 10
20 AFC Totton 10 3 1 6 8:16 10
21 Braintree 11 3 1 7 18:27 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
23 Walton & Hersham 11 2 2 7 10:27 8
24 Slough Town 11 1 1 9 11:29 4
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