Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hemel Hempstead vs Croydon Athletic Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
70' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Hemel Hempstead
30%
Draws
42%
Croydon Athletic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Croydon Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Croydon Athletic haven't matched Hemel Hempstead's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hemel Hempstead a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Hemel Hempstead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 17%
Croydon Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hemel Hempstead Croydon Athletic
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 1
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.23 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.64 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2011 FA Trophy
Croydon Athletic vs Hemel Hempstead
0:2
Oct 22, 2011 FA Trophy
Hemel Hempstead vs Croydon Athletic
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hemel Hempstead 84 / 100
Croydon Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hemel Hempstead Croydon Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hemel Hempstead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Croydon Athletic conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Hemel Hempstead scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hemel Hempstead stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hemel Hempstead VS Croydon Athletic
0.88 Goals Scored 1.6
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.4
75% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Hemel Hempstead

(Home)
26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2
Hemel Hempstead
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 7

Croydon Athletic

(Away)
26 Sept
Waltham Abbey
7 : 1
Croydon Athletic
12 Sept
Croydon Athletic
3 : 0
Raynes Park Vale
05 Sept
Leatherhead
3 : 0
Croydon Athletic
29 Aug
Croydon Athletic
3 : 2
Sevenoaks
01 Aug
Croydon Athletic
1 : 0
Burgess Hill
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Curzon Ashton -
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Farsley -
Barton 2
Shepshed 1
Carlton Town 4
Belper Town 5
Chester -
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Ashton United -
Newcastle Town 1
Woodford 0
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Stafford -
Northwich Victoria -
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Trafford 1
AFC Fylde 4
Garforth 5
Lancaster 1
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Buxton -
Hednesford -
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Market Drayton 1
Bedworth United 2
Stamford 5
Coalville Town 4
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Matlock -
Stourbridge -
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Redditch -
Nantwich -
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Kendal -
Radcliffe 3
New Mills 2
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Harrogate Railway -
Bradford PA -
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Worksop -
North Ferriby United -
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Ossett Albion 1
Lincoln Utd. 3
Burscough -
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Clitheroe 3
Salford 4
Marine -
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Chorley -
Grantham Town -
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Chasetown -
Ossett Town 2
Wakefield 1
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Stocksbridge -
Evesham -
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Barwell -
Sheffield FC 5
Warrington Town 4
Cammell Laird 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Leamington -
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Halesowen 0
Romulus 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
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Quorn 0
Biggleswade Town 5
Whitby -
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Skelmersdale 3
Woodley 4
Durham 2
Prescot Cables 1
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Goole -
Frickley -
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United of Manchester -
Leek Town -
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Rainworth 1
Hucknall 2
Brigg Town 2
Mossley AFC 1
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Witton Albion -
Folkestone -
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Metropolitan Police -
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Stourport 2
Daventry 4
Grays 5
Waltham Abbey 1
North Greenford Utd. 3
Whyteleafe 4
Hendon -
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Canvey Island -
Faversham 7
Walton Casuals 5
Tilbury 1
Walthamstow FC 2
Bedford -
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East Thurrock Utd -
Margate -
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Ware 0
Chipstead 1
Tooting & Mitcham -
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Wealdstone -
Harrow Borough -
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Wingate & Finchley -
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Hornchurch -
Maldon & Tiptree -
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Merstham -
Hastings -
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Romford 1
Bedfont Sports 4
Harlow -
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Concord Rangers -
Cray Wanderers -
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Lewes -
Bury Town -
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Aveley -
Burgess Hill 3
Corinthian-Casuals 0
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Hythe -
Uxbridge -
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Northwood 4
Sittingbourne 5
AFC Hayes 2
Cheshunt 1
Heybridge 0
Potters 1
Cambridge City -
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Rushall -
Needham Market 7
Ramsgate 2
Ilford 2
Redbridge 3
Hitchin -
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Chatham 3
Eastbourne Town 4
Brentwood 1
Leiston 0
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Lowestoft -
Billericay -
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Soham 1
Whitehawk 7
Sutton 5
Rugby 1
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Neots -
Thamesmead 3
Whitstable Town 2
Walton & Hersham 1
Enfield Town 2
Sudbury 6
Great Wakering 1
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Arlesey -
Hemel Hempstead -
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Croydon Athletic -
Mickleover -
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Brackley -
Banbury -
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Leighton Town -
Taunton Town -
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Bishops Cleeve 0
Paulton Rovers 1
Carshalton -
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Beaconsfield Town 0
Bideford 2
Leatherhead -
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Cirencester -
Worthing FC 5
Crawley Town 3
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Bashley -
Marlow -
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Clevedon 1
Didcot 3
Chesham -
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Horsham FC -
Aylesbury Vale -
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Bridgwater United 1
Tiverton 3
Gosport Borough 3
Slough Town 0
Wimborne 0
Sholing 2
Kingstonian -
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Godalming Town -
Chippenham Town -
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Cinderford Town 0
Poole Town 3
Oxford City -
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Bognor Regis 0
Mangotsfield 1
Chertsey Town -
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Abingdon 3
Chalfont St Peter 4
St. Albans -
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Maidstone 1
Ashford Town 3
Thatcham 2
North Leigh 0
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Frome Town -
Totton & Eling -
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Weymouth -
Yate 2
Hungerford 1
Burnham FC 0
Fleet Town 1
Andover -
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Semi-finals
Curzon Ashton 4
Farsley 2
Barton 0
Belper Town 1
Chester 2
Ashton United 1
Newcastle Town 3
Stafford 6
Northwich Victoria 4
AFC Fylde 2
Garforth 2
Buxton 4
Hednesford 1
Bedworth United 0
Stamford 0
Matlock 3
Stourbridge 2
Redditch 1
Nantwich 0
Kendal 1
Radcliffe 2
Harrogate Railway 1
Bradford PA 2
Worksop 5
North Ferriby United 3
Lincoln Utd. 1
Burscough 0
Salford 1
Marine 1
Chorley 0
Grantham Town 0
Chasetown 5
Ossett Town 5
Stocksbridge 4
Evesham 3
Barwell 7
Sheffield FC 3
Bamber Bridge 0
Leamington 0
Romulus 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Whitby 1
Woodley 3
Durham 3
Goole 2
Frickley 0
United of Manchester 4
Leek Town 4
Hucknall 1
Brigg Town 1
Witton Albion 6
Folkestone 1
Metropolitan Police 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Daventry 4
Grays 3
Whyteleafe 0
Hendon 0
Canvey Island 4
Faversham 1
Walthamstow FC 0
Bedford 2
East Thurrock Utd 3
Margate 3
Chipstead 1
Tooting & Mitcham 0
Wealdstone 3
Harrow Borough 2
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Wingate & Finchley 1
Hornchurch 2
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Merstham 0
Hastings 1
Bedfont Sports 3
Harlow 3
Concord Rangers 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Lewes 2
Bury Town 1
Aveley 0
Burgess Hill 0
Hythe 1
Uxbridge 3
Sittingbourne 1
AFC Hayes 0
Potters 1
Cambridge City 2
Rushall 0
Needham Market 1
Redbridge 3
Hitchin 3
Eastbourne Town 1
Brentwood 2
Lowestoft 3
Billericay 1
Whitehawk 0
Sutton 1
Neots 3
Thamesmead 2
Enfield Town 0
Sudbury 1
Arlesey 3
Hemel Hempstead 3
Croydon Athletic 1
Mickleover 0
Brackley 1
Banbury 1
Leighton Town 0
Taunton Town 0
Paulton Rovers 3
Carshalton 3
Bideford 1
Leatherhead 1
Cirencester 3
Worthing FC 6
Bashley 4
Marlow 1
Didcot 5
Chesham 5
Horsham FC 0
Aylesbury Vale 1
Tiverton 2
Gosport Borough 1
Sholing 0
Kingstonian 0
Godalming Town 1
Chippenham Town 3
Poole Town 2
Oxford City 0
Mangotsfield 3
Chertsey Town 2
Chalfont St Peter 0
St. Albans 1
Ashford Town 3
Thatcham 1
Frome Town 0
Totton & Eling 2
Weymouth 3
Yate 5
Fleet Town 0
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Final
Curzon Ashton 2
Belper Town 1
Chester 2
Stafford 0
Northwich Victoria 3
Buxton 0
Hednesford 1
Matlock 2
Stourbridge 9
Kendal 3
Radcliffe 1
Worksop 3
North Ferriby United 3
Salford 0
Marine 5
Chasetown 2
Ossett Town 4
Barwell 2
Sheffield FC 2
Romulus 0
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
Woodley 1
Durham 2
United of Manchester 4
Leek Town 4
Witton Albion 7
Folkestone 4
Daventry 2
Grays 2
Canvey Island 3
Faversham 2
East Thurrock Utd 4
Margate 2
Wealdstone 3
Harrow Borough 1
Hornchurch 2
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Bedfont Sports 2
Harlow 3
Lewes 2
Bury Town 3
Hythe 2
Uxbridge 5
Potters 2
Cambridge City 1
Redbridge 2
Hitchin 1
Lowestoft 3
Billericay 2
Neots 0
Thamesmead 3
Arlesey 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Brackley 3
Banbury 3
Paulton Rovers 1
Carshalton 3
Cirencester 1
Worthing FC 0
Didcot 2
Chesham 2
Tiverton 3
Gosport Borough 4
Godalming Town 0
Chippenham Town 3
Mangotsfield 1
Chertsey Town 6
Ashford Town 5
Thatcham 2
Weymouth 7
Yate 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
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