Sport Picks
Hemel Hempstead vs Maidenhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
16'
16'
Nkrumah D.
AI Match Summary
Maidenhead in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maidenhead.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hemel Hempstead
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Maidenhead lately — more wins on the board than Hemel Hempstead.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 68%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hemel Hempstead | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Maidenhead
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Maidenhead
0:0
Aug 19, 2025 National League South
Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead
2:2
Dec 20, 2022 FA Trophy
Hemel Hempstead vs Maidenhead
2:3
Dec 14, 2019 FA Trophy
Maidenhead vs Hemel Hempstead
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hemel Hempstead Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Maidenhead Compare
Top Goalscorer Nkrumah D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hemel Hempstead 41 / 100
Maidenhead 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hemel Hempstead Maidenhead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hemel Hempstead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Hemel Hempstead found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Maidenhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Hemel Hempstead went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hemel Hempstead VS Maidenhead
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hemel Hempstead
(Home) 17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2 Hemel Hempstead
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1 Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Farnham
29 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3 Weston-super-Mare
18 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
0 : 1 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 3
Maidenhead
(Away) 17 Oct
Maidstone
2 : 1 Maidenhead
10 Oct
Maidenhead
0 : 1 Tonbridge
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3 Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2 Billericay
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Maidstone
2 : 1 Maidenhead
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4 Maidenhead
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0 Maidenhead
18 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
0 : 1 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Billericay | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Truro | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 21 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:11 | 20 |
| 7 | Dagenham & Red. | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 20 |
| 8 | Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Dover Ath. | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 10 | Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 23:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Farnham | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 13 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18:15 | 16 |
| 14 | Horsham FC | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 14:8 | 14 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 19 | Chesham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | 10 |
| 20 | Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18:27 | 10 |
| 21 | AFC Totton | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:23 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:26 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:27 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12:31 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
