Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hemel Hempstead vs Torquay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hemel Hempstead host Torquay in the National League South. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Hemel Hempstead have averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Torquay's 2.03 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Hemel Hempstead have won 2 to Torquay's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.63, favoring Torquay. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Hemel Hempstead
20%
Draws
51%
Torquay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torquay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hemel Hempstead haven't matched Torquay's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 14%
Torquay Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hemel Hempstead Torquay
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 2.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Torquay
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 National League South
Torquay vs Hemel Hempstead
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Torquay
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Torquay
1:4
Dec 21, 2024 National League South
Torquay vs Hemel Hempstead
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hemel Hempstead 35 / 100
Torquay 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hemel Hempstead Torquay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torquay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hemel Hempstead scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Torquay has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Hemel Hempstead has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hemel Hempstead VS Torquay
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hemel Hempstead

(Home)
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
26 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 2
Hemel Hempstead
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

Torquay

(Away)
17 Oct
Torquay
0 : 1
Oxford City
10 Oct
Torquay
5 : 1
Slough Town
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Torquay
26 Sept
Billericay
3 : 0
Torquay
19 Sept
Torquay
6 : 1
AFC Stoneham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 12 8 1 3 22:13 25
2 Ebbsfleet 10 6 4 0 22:6 22
3 Salisbury 11 6 3 2 20:8 21
4 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
5 Truro 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
6 Tonbridge 12 6 2 4 21:11 20
7 Dagenham & Red. 12 6 2 4 10:9 20
8 Weston-super-Mare 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
9 Dover Ath. 11 5 3 3 18:17 18
10 Dorking Wanderers 11 4 5 2 23:17 17
11 Farnham 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
12 Folkestone 12 4 4 4 18:14 16
13 Torquay 11 4 4 3 18:15 16
14 Horsham FC 12 3 6 3 14:15 15
15 Chelmsford 10 2 8 0 14:8 14
16 Hemel Hempstead 12 3 5 4 10:11 14
17 Farnborough 11 4 2 5 10:17 14
18 Maidenhead 12 3 4 5 13:14 13
19 Chesham 11 3 1 7 16:24 10
20 Braintree 11 3 1 7 18:27 10
21 AFC Totton 12 3 1 8 9:23 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
23 Walton & Hersham 11 2 2 7 10:27 8
24 Slough Town 12 1 1 10 12:31 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)